Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3.212219 3.768914 4.413204 5.218719 6.205407 7.383026 8.907467
2024-12-29 2.375362 3.064430 3.959150 5.225764 7.005075 9.465539 13.215407
2025-01-05 1.925227 2.634701 3.625412 5.146539 7.490865 11.085913 17.263277
2025-01-12 1.676339 2.405781 3.486589 5.262410 8.225317 13.202850 22.747020
2025-01-19 1.445035 2.152372 3.250664 5.156414 8.550613 14.708679 27.699778
2025-01-26 1.352448 2.090881 3.293008 5.499306 9.707261 17.999216 37.444336
2025-02-02 1.255157 2.003695 3.273391 5.722054 10.689139 21.251230 48.642833
2025-02-09 1.178890 1.938518 3.277270 5.982857 11.806336 25.152362 63.485713
2025-02-16 1.091027 1.839842 3.203527 6.073922 12.584295 28.547088 78.962937
2025-02-23 1.019318 1.760080 3.151541 6.196606 13.463458 32.513791 98.798115
2025-03-02 0.936841 1.649770 3.024049 6.131976 13.878959 35.408185 117.113392
2025-03-09 0.882089 1.585482 2.978626 6.240724 14.760794 39.996027 145.574025
2025-03-16 0.793671 1.455740 2.802858 6.069424 15.017153 43.332350 174.835617
2025-03-23 0.727193 1.364000 2.699141 6.066527 15.805661 49.097563 224.484180
2025-03-30 0.663494 1.268828 2.571485 5.972536 16.298017 54.167656 278.940574
2025-04-06 0.623764 1.218513 2.535833 6.110883 17.579765 63.226562 376.159808
2025-04-13 0.572290 1.136240 2.413244 5.984295 17.947307 68.789733 461.896921
2025-04-20 0.556932 1.131458 2.474024 6.394119 20.385874 85.998170 698.708493
2025-04-27 0.534602 1.107885 2.484744 6.660823 22.437653 103.439751 1012.383982
2025-05-04 0.515915 1.090275 2.507640 6.973553 24.850744 125.769858 1513.574018
2025-05-11 0.489812 1.051833 2.470086 7.082863 26.474413 145.335184 2115.288920
2025-05-18 0.467448 1.019828 2.445025 7.230217 28.373632 169.582816 3044.407131
2025-05-25 0.438797 0.969099 2.361088 7.152578 29.176233 186.860108 4014.713596